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The Omnifarium - Politics/ScarGuild.2006.html

Scarborough-Guildwood: 2006 Results

Category: Politics
Tue, 24 Jan 2006, 21:29

The results are in, and Liberal incumbant John McKay easily won Mondays election. This is somewhat surprising considering how hard Conservative challenger Pauline Browes worked the riding. Unlike the others, she wasn't just campaigning since the election was called in December. We found Browes' flyers in our mailbox no fewer than three or four times since July. The last flyer was delivered personally by Browes just days before the election. I expected McKay to win, but with a slimmer margin of victory.

The election results must be a big disappointment to Scarborough-Guildwood Conservatives since they only gained about 2,500 more votes since the 2004 election. At the same time, the popular John McKay himself gained almost a thousand more votes.

The following table shows the election results of Scarborough-East and Scarborough-Guildwood since 1968, including the results of Mondays vote:

1968 1972 1974 1979 1980 1984 1988 1993 1997 2000 2004 2006
Lib 27301 25837 30586 16002 17147 13325 16337 20048 23065 24019 20950 21875
Cons 12477 27301 23585 21381 17658 29349 18149 6598 8297 6284 8277 11790
Ref/All               10239 7011 7559
NDP 13265 14731 10772 8190 8533 6422 6866 1524 3330 1884 5885 5847
(other)   304 441 232 241 1294 577 1246 748 405 1306 1565

As you can see by the past results, Conservative support in this riding is still nowhere near the levels of the 1970's and 1980's. Clearly, conservatives of the progressive variety still aren't feeling comfortable with the new Conservative party led by Stephen Harper. Even though Harper was born and raised in Leaside, he and his party just don't seem to appreciate the problems faced by major urban centers in this country. Urban voters completely shut out the Conservatives in the three biggest cities in Canada, and that, of course, included Scarborough-Guildwood.

Hans

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